JinkoSolar (JKS) Q4 2025
2026-04-16 00:00:00
Operator:
Hello, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by for JinkoSolar Holding Co Limited's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the meeting over to your host today, for today's call, Ms. Stella Wang, JinkoSolar's Investor Relations. Please proceed, Stella.
Stella Wang:
Thank you, operator. Thank you, everyone, for joining us today for JinkoSolar's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. The company's results were released earlier today and available on the company's IR website at www.jinkosolar.com as well as on Newswire services. We have also provided a supplemental presentation for today's earnings call, which can also be found on the IR website. On the call today from JinkoSolar are Mr. Xiande Li, Chairman and CEO of JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited; Mr. Pan Li, CFO of JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited; and Mr. Charlie Cao, CEO of JinkoSolar Company Limited. Mr. Li will discuss JinkoSolar's business operations and company highlights. Since our CMO, Mr. Gener Miao, is currently on a business trip, I will deliver the remarks on sales and marketing in his behalf. Following that, Mr. Pan Li will walk through the financials. After that, we will open the call for questions. Please note that today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements made under the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. As such, our future results may be materially different from the views expressed today. Further information regarding this and other risks is included in JinkoSolar's public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. JinkoSolar does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required under the applicable law. It's now my pleasure to introduce Mr. Li, Xiande, Chairman and CEO of JinkoSolar Holdings. Mr. Li will speak in Mandarin, and I will translate his comments into English. Please go ahead, Mr. Li.
Xiande Li:
[Interpreted] The global PV industry continued to experience volatility due to structural imbalances and shifting trade environment in 2025 impacting financials across the industrial chain. In this entering environment, we maintained disciplined operations and our technological leadership continuously driving upgrades of our n-type TOPCon technology and iterating our high-efficiency products. For the full year 2025, total module shipments reached 86 gigawatts ranking first globally for the seventh consecutive year, impacted by persistently low module prices, the elimination of obsolete production capacity and still evolving product mix and high-efficiency products ramp up. We incurred a net loss for the full year. In the fourth quarter, gross margin decreased sequentially, and our net loss expanded due to rising costs of raw materials such as polysilicon and silver as well as foreign exchange rate fluctuations. However, our energy storage business maintained its rapid growth trajectory, marking an important step in our ongoing transformation into an integrated energy solutions provider. Shipments of ESS grew significantly year-over-year to 5.2 gigawatts in 2025. This approximately 1.7 gigawatts hours recognized as revenue. Our deepening penetration into high-value markets is expected to more than double ESS shipments in 2026, serving as a primary driver for enhancing our profitability profile. Since the fourth quarter, government guidance supporting the high-quality development of the TV industry has continued to strengthen. A series of policy measures have steadily accelerated the phasing out of outdated capacity and the normalization of market competition. guiding the industry to gradually transition from competing on scale and price to quality and value. Leading companies have actively responded to this high-quality development directive pushing module prices back to reasonable levels. In the first quarter of 2026, driven by the pass-through of cost pressures from rising commodity prices, such as silver coupled with the impact of export tax rebates on demand, module prices rebounded significantly sequentially. As the industry's competitive landscape continues to normalize, and supply and demand dynamics marginally improved. Module prices are expected to remain relatively stable with high efficiency and differentiated products continue to command a premium. We continue to drive technological breakthroughs and lead the direction of industry innovation. As of the end of 2025, the maximum lab efficiency of our anti TOPCon cells reached 27.99% while conversion efficiency of our anti TOPCon-based perovskite tandem cell reached 34.76%. As a global leader for TOPCon technology, we held over 700 TOPCon patents by the end of the fourth quarter, surpassing most of our competitors. Furthermore, we partnered with Crystalline to provide the application of AI in R&D of perovskite tandem cell and accelerate the commercialization of next-generation technologies. We continue to drive product upgrades and performance iterations consistently enhancing product competitiveness. In the fourth quarter, shipments of high-efficiency products that exceed 640 wattP increased sequentially to approximately 3 gigawatts, a USD 0.01 premium compared to our conventional products. As our Tiger Neo, the third generation of Tiger Neo series which delivers maximum power output of 670wattp sequentially scales up production volume and shipments this year and accelerate market penetration across diverse application scenarios. The value proposition of our high-performance products will increasingly stand out and is expected to command a higher premium. We continued to enhance our cost control capabilities across market cycles offsetting the impact from raw material price fluctuations through supply chain optimization and technology core upgrades. Development of silver coated copper technology is progressing as planned with large-scale production expected to gradually ramp up in 2026. Our initiatives in smart manufacturing have already begun to generate initial results. Through our lighthouse projects represented by Shanxi Super Factory, our vertically integrated production model continues to improve production efficiency and cost competitiveness providing a replicable blueprint for our global manufacturing footprint. We view our energy storage business as a strategically vital second growth engine. We continue to strengthen our R&D for our core technologies, enhance our system solution capabilities and improved localized customer service and life cycle support, leveraging our global PV distribution channels, we are steadily scaling east shipments and greater synergies between our solar and storage solutions are increasingly materializing. Currently, our sign and high potential ESS orders exceeded 10 gigawatt hour in total. As the global energy transition advances and the demand for great flexibility increases, the role of energy storage with the renewable energy system continues to strengthen. Looking ahead to 2026, we will continue to deepen penetration into high-value markets and explore application scenarios, including 0 carbon industrial parks and data centers. We continue to optimize our global manufacturing and supply chain footprint, enhancing our ability to adapt to diverse market policies and customer needs. Our 2 gigawatts N-type module facility in the U.S. maintained high utilization rates as we continue to strengthen local manufacturing and service capabilities. We are also actively developing new models for long-term engagement in key markets to better address customer demand for high-efficiency products and solutions. 2025 mark the final year of the 14th 5-year plan during which cumulative installed capacity of wind and solar power surpassed the coal-fired power for the first time, becoming the largest source of electricity generation. At the same time, solar power generation has fully entered a market driving phase. The industry's development framework is shifting from scaled expansion towards greater emphasis on operational capabilities and comprehensive value creation, which read is the competitive bar for technology and products. At the same time, recent volatility in global energy markets has highlighted the critical need for energy security, we're enforcing the long-term value of renewable energy. Looking forward to the medium to long-term as the construction of new power systems advances and the new load demand growth from data centers, for example, application scenarios for solar and storage will continue to broaden, enhancing the value of the green power. Industry competition will gradually transition from being cost and skill driven to a model centered on technology called innovation, product competitiveness and the ability to deliver integrated solar/storage solution. We will continue to consolidate our technological leadership, deepening our global footprint accelerate the development of our integrated solar plus storage strategy and consistently improve our capabilities to deliver comprehensive solutions. This will steadily strengthen our long-term competitiveness and profitability at an industry landscape reship. Before turning over to Gener, I would like to go over our guidance for the full year of 2026. We expect a new integrated production capacity to reach approximately 100 gigawatts by the end of 2026, including 14 gigawatts from overseas facilities. We expect module shipments to be between 13 gigawatts and 14 gigawatts for the fourth quarter of 2026 and between 75 gigawatts and 85 gigawatts for the full year 2026.
Gener Miao:
Thank you, Mr. Li. We are pleased to report that both our robust global sales network and strong product competitiveness drove quarterly and annual module shipments to once again ranking first across the industry. Total shipments were 26 gigawatts in the fourth quarter with total motor accounting for nearly 93% of the mix. For full year, total module shipments were 86 gigawatts. Geographically, overseas markets remained our primary driver accounting for about 60% of total module shipments in 2025. We actively capitalized on growing demand across Asia Pacific and emerging markets, which together accounted for nearly 40% Shipments to the U.S. were in line with our expectations and accounted for approximately 5%. We continue to optimize our product mix increasing the proportion of high-efficiency product shipments and focusing on high-value application scenarios. This high efficiency models highlighted by the Tiger Neo, the third generation of Tiger Neo series have earned widespread recognition for their higher power generation and better LCOE. The order book for these modules has grown steadily since the fourth quarter, allowing us to command a premium over conventional products. As we continue to enhance our product competitiveness, our brand reputation and the customer recognition has strengthened in tandem. Internet's latest global energy storage Tier 1 list for the first quarter of 2026, we are recognized as a Tier 1 energy storage provider for eighth consecutive quarter. Furthermore, we achieved an S&P Global CSE score of 78 points, the highest one among PV module companies. And we were included in the 2026 surtainability year book. On the demand side, recent policy guidance and the discussions during China's 2 sessions and the subsequent industry forums have reinforced the strategic focus on energy efficiency carbon reduction and zero-carbon industrial parts. This provides a solid foundation for the continued growth in Chinese solar market during the 5-year plan. Globally, the ongoing global electrification process, the continuous growth of new power loads from data centers and increased focus on energy security following recent energy crisis are collectively driving demand. Local solar and solar plus storage solutions and their deployment flexibility are ideally positioned to address these issues. In healthy energy system resilience and facilitating seamless incremental power demand for countries. By the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, cumulative global module shipments surpassed 390 gigawatts with other sales network covering nearly to 100 countries and regions. Notably, total cumulative shipments of our Tiger Neo series exceeded 220 gigawatts ranking first in the industry as we continue to reinforce our global market leadership and a strong customer base. 2026 marks our 20th anniversary, and we are using this milestone as an opportunity to further strengthen our product, brand and customer service systems to continuously enhance our competitiveness in the global market. With that, I will turn the call over to Pan.
Mengmeng Li:
Thank you, Stella. In the challenging fourth quarter, we achieved a 20.9% sequential increase in solar module shipments and a slight sequential increase in total revenues. Our operating efficiency improved significantly from last quarter Operating cash flow was approximately $470 million in the fourth quarter and $280 million for the full year, $25 million hitting the target we set at the beginning of the year to reach positive full year operating cash flow. Looking ahead to we expect full year operating cash flow to remain positive. Looking at our fourth quarter financials in more detail. Total revenue was $2.5 billion, up 8.3% sequentially and down 15% year-over-year. The sequential increase was probably driven by increase in solar motor shipments, while the year-over-year decrease was mainly due to a decrease in average selling price of modules. Gross margin was 0.3% compared with 7.3% in the third quarter and 3.8% in the fourth quarter '24. The sequential decrease was mainly due to a higher revenue cost for products sold while the year-over-year decrease was mainly due to a decrease in average selling price of modules. Total operating expenses were $473.6 million up 28% sequentially and 21% year-over-year. The sequential and year-over-year increases were mainly due to an increase in the impairment of long-lived assets in the fourth quarter of '25. Total operating expenses accounted for 18.9% of total revenues compared to 16% in the third quarter. Operating loss margin was 18.6% compared with 8.7% in the third quarter. Now let me briefly review our '25 full year financial results. total module shipments were 86 gigawatts, down 7.3% year-over-year. Total revenues were about $9.4 billion, down 29% year-over-year. The decrease was mainly attributed to the decrease in the average selling price of solar modules. For the full year, gross profit was USD 201 million, a decrease of 86% year-over-year. Gross margin was 2.2% compared to 10.9% in '24, primarily due to a decrease in average selling price of modules. Total operating expenses were $1.48 billion, down 23% year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in shipping costs driven by lower volumes of solar module shipments and declining average freight rate in 25 as well as lower employee compensation cost. Operating loss margin for full year of '25 was 13.6% compared with 3.6% for the full year of '24. Excluding the impact of the changes in fair value of convertible notes issued by JinkoSolar in '23, changes in the fair value of the long-term investments, share-based compensation expenses, the net loss resulting from a 5 incident at one of our production facilities in Shanxi province in 2024. And the impairment of the long-lived assets, adjusted net loss attribute to JinkoSolar Holdings ordinary shareholders were about for $8 million in 2025. Moving to the balance sheet. At the end of the fourth quarter, our cash and cash equivalents were $3.3 billion compared even at the end of the third quarter of '25 at $3.8 billion at the end of fourth quarter of '24. AR turnover days were 94 days compared with 105 days in the third quarter. Inventory turnover days was 75 days compared to 90 days in the third quarter. As these metrics show, operating efficiency is steadily improving. At the end of the fourth quarter, total debt was about $6.7 compared to $5.6 billion at the end of the fourth quarter of '24. Net debt was $3.44 billion compared to $1.76 billion at the end of the fourth quarter of '24. This concludes our prepared remarks. We are now happy to take your questions. Operator, please proceed.
Operator:
[Operator Instructions] Your first question today comes from Philip Shen from ROTH Capital Partners.
Philip Shen:
Wanted to get your outlook and assumptions for pricing for Q1 and Q2. I think in your prepared remarks, you said you expect the global ASP to be stable. But are you assuming $0.10 a lot in Q1 and Q2? And then can you also talk about your gross margin cadence as we get through the year? Do you think Q1 is low, is it lower than Q4? And can it go higher from here? Are you guys speaking? Did you guys hear my question?
Haiyun Cao:
Sorry, Philip, this is Charlie. I'm [ muting ] my phone. Can you hear me?
Philip Shen:
Okay. Yes, I can hear you now. We didn't...
Haiyun Cao:
Okay. Let's get back to your question. And if you look at the price index, the market pricing. And I think the module price is rebounding in the last 3 to 5 months and reflecting the cost inflation and as well as I think most of the Tier 1 companies is more disciplined. And as well as there's backdrop as anti-evolutions. And if I talk to specifically Q1, Q2 ASP, we expect quarter-by-quarter, the improve and gradually. And it's a combination of the price inflation in placing as well as we are marking the next-generation Tiger Neo 3 high-inflation products. And that is -- I think we get a lot of changing from our customers, and there is a price premium. So as a combination, I think the market price is up and players are more disciplined. and we have more mix on the high increasing products.
Philip Shen:
Great. And so we can see the pricing improves. So can you quantify at all? So Q1, do we see $0.11. Q2, do we see $0.12? And then can you also speak to Q1 and Q2?
Haiyun Cao:
Yes, I think we're not in a position to disclose detailed in ASP for looking. But if you look at the market price, I think you're right, it's kind of the price level depending on different products and different ratings. It's roughly in the range of, I think, 11.5% or maybe 14, depending on different markets, different products in different regions.
Operator:
Your next question comes from Rajiv Chaudhri from Sunsara Capital.
Rajiv Chaudhri:
I just have a few questions. The first 1 is on the gross margin impact of the 3 factors you mentioned the foreign exchange, the U.S. dollar rate, cost of silver and the cost of polysilicon. Can you break down for us the amount -- the significance of each of these factors. And just give us a sort of -- if these factors had not shifted from Q3, what the gross margin could have been in Q4, so we understand what the impact was?
Haiyun Cao:
Yes, I think -- so back to your question, I think if nothing changed, we expect the Q4 margin should be stable or maybe a little bit higher in the fourth quarter. But fourth quarter, there's some headwinds. And just -- you are talking about it's -- if we look at the magnitude, the first one will definitely the commodities, particularly the silver. And I think the price -- the market price is sold. It's up 250% to 300%, not a dramatic change. And second one will be the RMB appreciation. And the polysilicon is not -- the price a little bit higher in Q4, but it's not a significant impact.
Rajiv Chaudhri:
Okay. So silver was #1, the exchange rate #2 and polysilicon, much less. Great. Next question is on depreciation and CapEx. What were the depreciation and CapEx numbers for '25? And what is your target for '26.
Haiyun Cao:
The depreciation a year per year in 2025, it's roughly -- sorry, an USD 1 billion per year. So -- and the CapEx in 2025, I think roughly, it's the same number. It's USD 1 billion. It's a totally different number, okay, it's coincidence. And definitely in 2026, we will further cut the CapEx is roughly, I think, roughly RMB 5 billion and roughly USD 700 million. And we make the investment on the CapEx, particularly the last year. It's -- the purpose it upgrades the roughly 40 gigawatts capacity through the next-generation technology, we call it Tiger Neo 3, and we don't have any additional investment plan in 2026. By 2026 payment is the outstanding the payable to the suppliers.
Rajiv Chaudhri:
I see. Okay. And the other question is on market share and size of market. Can you give us an idea of what you think the market size was in 2025. And obviously, that will allow me to calculate your market share. But related to that is a question of your guidance and the market share that you expect to get in 2026.
Haiyun Cao:
We -- last year, we delivered roughly 85% roughly gigawatts and were the top 1 in the industry. I think roughly, we get 13%, maybe 13% to 14% market share. And we expect 2026, the global demand a little bit flat or maybe down a little bit small percentage given last year, China reached to the very high peak over 300 gigawatts. And -- but overseas market continued to grow in 2026 and it's kind of the short term, the market size, the total market size a little bit down in 2026 because China specific situations. But for the next year, long term, we are very optimistic. If you look at the conflict Middle East, I think more and more countries, including China, have more determination to push more renewable energy and the energy independence securities are more -- will become more first priorities and for a lot of governments. And for the '26, we guided to 85 gigawatts with a flat with last year, maybe a little bit lower, reflecting the total market size in 2026. I'm talking about that the total markets could be a little bit lower compared to last year. And basically, I think the market share will be relatively stable. But the key operational targets will be improved -- significantly improve our financial performance were healthy operational cash flows, and we will more focus on the high-value customers and from the Utility segment and the DG segment as well.
Rajiv Chaudhri:
I see. So would you expect in this scenario that your -- the share of international will be even higher than last year in your sales?
Haiyun Cao:
I think so. I think so because we are trying to lower our exposure in China. And definitely, China last year, it takes around 40% of our shipments in 2025 for Jinko. And I expect 2026, China the percentage will be will be lowered to 30%, maybe a little bit lower, and we're getting more market share from overseas market, particularly the markets with more disciplined and the customer would like to pay for the branding, the qualities and the high increasing products.
Rajiv Chaudhri:
So Charlie, if some of the Tier 3 and the weaker companies are getting out of the market shouldn't we expect your market share to grow in 2026 even if the market overall is down, are you just being very conservative here?
Haiyun Cao:
No. Unfortunately, it's not a conservative estimation. And we think this year is kind of the -- how to say, the transition year. And next year, we are looking forward to a lot of good opportunities. And we believe this year, you're right, a lot of Tier 2, Tier 3 even relatively bigger guys will be facing, I think, liquidation issues or maybe consolidation issues. And we -- what we want to do is we penetrate the market with customers who is willing to be a ratable price and we are able to get a reasonable, I think, reasonable profitabilities.
Rajiv Chaudhri:
Charlie, final question. On the exchange rate, obviously, you experienced a negative margin pressure because the dollar weakened -- sorry, the dollar weakened against the renminbi and your products are priced in dollars globally. Would you consider shifting that into pricing globally in so that in future, as the dollar continues to weaken against RMB that you will -- you are not punished for it because it seems to me that it makes sense to consider this as a strategic rethink.
Haiyun Cao:
Yes. We're trying to diversify the minimize the risk of facturation in the currencies. And if you look at the price determination in our sales orders, it really depends on the customers, how they view their exposures. Most of our customers, I think the PPA is still in U.S. dollars. So it's kind of a natural hit when they prop the modules from the module makers, but some customers are willing to pay RMB denominated. And we are encouraging the customers who is willing to switch to the to RMB to a little bit lower, the exposure -- currency exposures. And on top of that, I think currency hedging will continue to do that. It's a little bit difficult, but we're trying to minimize impact. And for the pricing impact, we periodically, we reassess the possible the exchange rates and put into the pricing for the future sales order.
Operator:
Your next question comes from Alan Lau from Jefferies.
Alan Lau:
So First of all, I would like to understand the company's view on its potential collaboration with the U.S. leader in its local plan in both the space-based solar and also in some huge local 100 gigawatts deployment heard that Ghana was on the ground with some progress. So I would like to know if the company would share updates on that front? And another thing is recently, it seems there's market discussion on China may be prohibiting or stopping the export of solar equipment as well. So would this impact that collaboration?
Haiyun Cao:
Thanks for the questions. And for the second question, I didn't have any information or comment. And I know there is some kind of message, even public news from overseas media channels. And -- but for the -- I think you are talking about the U.S., the Tesla SpaceX it's probably information Elon Musk is making very bullish and plan to build and 100 gigawatts by Tesla and 100 gigawatts by the SpaceX. And I think it's -- why do you have such bullish plan? I think particularly from Tesla perspective, public news show, okay, because the AI, it is -- there's a lot of demand for electricity, renewable energies and the U.S. is lack of electricity and renewable energy will be the final solutions. And I think we size simply we have visited a lot of equipment suppliers and manufacturing, including JinkoSolar. They have decided the technology to be TOPCon but we don't have any further information to disclose. But again, under Jinko is Pioneer and the innovators for the top content knowledge. And we have, I think, the most powerful capabilities to build integrated the capacities, the digitalizations and have a very strong powerful patterns as well in the gold. And we are quite open to explore the corporate rating opportunities and with partners in different countries. And you can -- so that is the information I think I can see. But in summary, I think the property information show, okay. The Tesla, SpaceX has a plan to build capacities. They are doing a lot of the work including visiting Chinese manufacturing. And -- but we -- from Jinko perspective, we didn't have any further information to these goals. And -- but we are open for the business opportunities, if any.
Alan Lau:
So good luck for the potential chance on collaboration. And then to follow up, is there any -- what's your view on the pattern -- popcorn patent loss raised by First Solar. So are you seeing this is impacting your shipment in the U.S. or it's not really affected.
Haiyun Cao:
Yes. We don't expect any disruption or impact in our business and ongoing business in the United States and the first solar litigations, and we have been actively engaged experienced lawyers and to Fight. And we don't believe we infringe relevant patents of First Solar, and we did the research for the producing process. We don't believe it's relevant. And on top of that, we have a very solid experience a couple of years ago, and to deal with 337 with [indiscernible] Solar and remain in the final. And -- but again, we do a lot of preparation work and -- but we are confident, and there is an impact for our operations in the United States.
Alan Lau:
Understood. Clear. So switching gear to the fee-related issue. So I would like to know, I think probably for this year, there are sufficient projects already safe harbor for this year. So I wonder if you may share with investors on your plan on meeting the fee requirement going forward? Like is there any progress in sourcing partner, et cetera?
Haiyun Cao:
Yes. I think there's a lot of the safe harbor, the downstream projects and the project will get through the construction and the connections in the next 2 or 3 years. And for the long felt compliance for the manufacturing in our Florida facilities and we are in the final stages and recent negotiations with potential investors. And if there are any is significant make too. We will make the announcement. And we expect it to be closed in the next couple of months.
Alan Lau:
Understood. That's very good news. And then I would like to switch gears to ESS, like I think the Chairman has guided on the shipment that in the shipment may be doubled. I wonder if you can share in which region are those shipments is going to be? And is there any AI data center-related deals that is being negotiated or in discussion.
Haiyun Cao:
For the storage business, ESS business and AIDC definitely it's a very hot topic, and we are actively in early stage and discussion with few potential customers. And return. And I think we -- hopefully, we are able to finalize some deals by the end of this year. And therefore, the stories segment by ratings and China really take our small precedes and is roughly 10% to 15%. And our focus will be the Europe, Latin America and some projects from Middle East and Asia Pacific regions. So that's the breakdowns. In the U.S., last year, received around 600-megawatt hours, and we are building solidify our teams. And hopefully, we can make significant breakthrough in the U.S. market in 2026 as well.
Alan Lau:
Understood. So is there an expected gross margin target on the ESS side of the business?
Haiyun Cao:
Yes. It's we estimate to be 10% to 15%. That -- we did have a very good backlog last year. And the industry is facing increase of the price of late. And -- but we are trying to manage and minimize exposures, but we estimate it could be in a range of 10% to 15%.
Alan Lau:
Understood. That's very clear. I think my last question is on the shareholders' return. I wonder if the company -- what's the pace of the buyback or the company? Like is there any further shareholders' return program for this year?
Haiyun Cao:
I think we will convene 1 make the investment return in the combination of the share repurchase and the dividend and -- it could be -- the magnitude we have not determined, but we'll definitely do that.
Alan Lau:
Resulting in the past, it was around like the plan was around $200 million per year, but I'm not sure if this is still the plan, different situation in the industry for now.
Haiyun Cao:
U.S. holding companies and I think now the U.S. company has around USD 200 million in cash. And -- but we're trying to make some investment on this so -- including solar, robotics and some relevant and industries. And so we need to allocate between equity investment and shareholder returns. But we have sufficient, I think, the cash and to return on investment and to investors maybe in the range of 50% to a year.
Operator:
Your next question is a follow-up from Philip Shen from ROTH Capital Partners.
Philip Shen:
I wanted to ask about the perovskite outlook. You guys have highlighted your efficiencies there in the laboratory and was interested in getting your perspective on when perovskite could be commercialized in your capacity footprint? Are we looking at maybe 2 to 5 years? Or do you think it's beyond 5 years?
Haiyun Cao:
So we did make some through the laboratory for the perovskite technology and it's reaching roughly 24% to 25%. But talking to commercial mass adjusting, we think still have a lot of R&D work to do. it will be in the next maybe 3 to 5 years and -- but it's not -- definitely, it's not in the near term.
Philip Shen:
Yes. Okay, Charlie. And then in terms of your shipments to the U.S. market I think you had in your deck 5% of your shipments went to the U.S. What is your expectation for shipments to the U.S. market in 2026?
Haiyun Cao:
It's 5% to 10%. And there's a little bit of talent because the shortage of the solar cell in supplies. And -- but we are trying to reach to at least the metal point.
Philip Shen:
The midpoint of the 5% to 10%, is that what you mean?
Haiyun Cao:
Yes, yes. Midpoint, yes.
Philip Shen:
Got it. Can you talk about the source of your non-fosales? Are you sourcing them from the Mid East? Or where are they coming from?
Haiyun Cao:
Yes, in general, there's several different players and manufacturing, I think, in Africa in different continents. And we I think we are able to secure some of the productions from the suppliers.
Philip Shen:
Okay. And then in terms of the war, I just wanted to if there are any impacts to the business at all? And then you have your large manufacturing facility here your building in Saudi Arabia. So I want to see if -- do you have any thoughts on that?
Haiyun Cao:
Thanks for the question. And the Saudi joint ventures, we didn't make any, I think, the break ground, and it's still in the early preparations and waiting for the implementations of the policies, local policies. So we didn't make any investment and significant investment in the joint ventures. And the Middle East contract that it has several impacts. I don't believe it's a long term. Firstly, it will have an impact on our shipment to the Middle East, and we take a sizable market in the Middle East. And given the logistic challenge, and we need to replan we work with our customers, we schedule the cement plants. And there is a significant push for the oil price. And it's a kind of the fundamental cost for a lot of materials, particularly the chemicals and as well as logistics cost. So there is some kind of push for the cost from shipment costs, EV and -- but we are trying to manage in a renewable level. But I don't believe that's a long term, but short-term, there is some kind of impact, but we can get it.
Philip Shen:
Right. Charlie, so how much do you plan -- like what's the plan for shipments to the Mid East before the war 2026 percentage of your '26 shipments were you thinking?
Haiyun Cao:
You mean by year? A year?
Philip Shen:
Yes. For the full year. Like prewar were you thinking like 20%.
Haiyun Cao:
Yes. I think it's roughly 20%. And -- but it's not is not impacting all the countries but impacts some countries.
Philip Shen:
Right, in the short term right? Right. So in the short term, maybe it's half of that is maybe challenged by the? .
Operator:
There are no further questions at this time. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.